The 2024 Portland Region Condominium Housing Market in Review

Via Unsplash

The first quarter of 2025 is already drawing to a close, but let’s take the time to review how the Portland Region’s condominium market performed in 2024. High mortgage interest rates have been a concern in all segments of the housing market and condominiums were no exception. To be direct, 2024 was not a great year for condos.

Let’s take a look at how the Portland Region’s condo market performed as a whole and by individual county. We already examined the 2024 single-family detached home market and will have future posts dealing with attached homes and manufactured homes.

Let’s define the Portland Region as the following six counties: Columbia, Clackamas, Hood River, Multnomah, Washington, and Yamhill—essentially all counties contiguous with Portland’s home county of Multnomah, plus Yamhill.

Image of Portland Region counties.

DATA HOUSEKEEPING

The information in this post will be based on properties that sold on the open market, defined as listed in RMLS, the primary multiple listing service for the Portland Region. The data was parsed with tools created by the blog author to weed out/correct, among other things, listing errors and misclassifications (e.g. condominium sales hiding in other categories, such as in the attached or single-family category). It is important to understand that condominium is a classification of ownership and that condos come in many distinct varieties: detached, attached, townhome style, common wall, or even large converted apartment complexes. Condos are the ultimate chameleons, and can be mistaken for any other type of housing segment. With condominiums the property owner does not own the land or even the structure itself, but only the air space within the walls of the unit. The property owner also has an interest in the common elements on the site. Condos almost always entail monthly dues to the governing HOA. Condominiums often have distinct mortgage underwriting guidelines and it is important for real estate agents and appraisers to classify them properly.

Finally, RMLS has a listing category, SNL (Sold Not Listed), that allows agents to put properties that were sold off market into the database. Those properties have been excluded from the following analyses.

Portland Region 2024 Condo Overview

2024 was worse than 2023 in most important metrics. The following table compares 2024 with 2023:

Total sales volume was just north of $900 million, dropping over 8% from the previous year. Some of that decrease was due to a slight dip in the average size of the units selling in 2024 compared to the previous year, but average price per square foot was down as well. Typically as a unit gets smaller its price per square foot increases, so a drop in both total square footage and price per square foot definitely indicates a weaker market.

While prices have declined, the average monthly HOA dues increased nearly 3% in the region.

Bank owned and short sales both decreased in 2024 as compared to the previous year; the numbers are trivial and represent less than 1% of the entire market.

The only real bright spot in 2024 was more new construction condominium units came online that year. The annual increase was a healthy 35.7%.

Let’s dive into the rest of the data with some visuals.

SALES VOLUME

The following is a treemap of condo sales volume in the Portland Region for the year 2024:

Unsurprisingly, Multnomah County had the most sales (~64% of the entire market), with 93% of all Multnomah sales being in the City of Portland. Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington counties comprised virtually all of the sales volume, with Columbia, Hood River, and Yamhill barely getting over 1%.

Sales peaked in April of 2024 and then began to gradually decline:

As the following graph shows, 2023 beat 2024 eight out twelve months:

SALES PRICE

Prices were u-shaped during the months of February to July, with the year’s peak being in June. Late summer to fall/winter saw prices mostly declining.

Note: The y-axis starts at $340,000 to allow better examination of monthly differences.

2023 was ahead of 2024 every single month, with a couple of near ties in the months of May and November:

Note: The y-axis starts at $340,000 to allow better examination of monthly differences.

NEW CONSTRUCTION

New construction was fairly level in 2024, averaging between 13-23% of monthly sales:

Multnomah County had the biggest share of new condominiums as well as the biggest year-over-year increase:

CUMULATIVE DAYS ON MARKET

The average cumulative days on market edged towards three months for the entire year of 2024. Marketing time varied seasonally, with the slowest months being November and December:

Average marketing time was up sharply in 2024 compared to 2023:

HOUSING SUPPLY

Housing supply tracks how long would it take the market to exhaust all available inventory at the current rate of absorption. For most of 2024 the months of housing supply was above 5 months, with the year averaging 5.6 months.

2024 was significantly above 2023 in months of housing supply for nearly every month, with parity only being reached in November and December. The extended marketing times combined with the higher prices may make condominiums a more attractive housing option compared to single-family detached—particularly for first-time buyers:

HOA DUES

HOA dues for the region increased by nearly 3%, with the average being $440. Surprisingly, monthly dues in Multnomah and Yamhill counties declined in 2024, while Clackamas, Hood River, and Washington counties all saw increases. Columbia County had no condominium sales in 2023.

MISC STATS

Before concluding our overview of the Portland Region as a whole, let’s look at some miscellaneous stats:

The most expensive condo that sold on the open market in 2024 in the Portland Region was a riverfront unit on the Willamette. The condo sold for $3,197,617, has three bedrooms, three and a half bathrooms, and is 4,290 sq. ft. Photos of the condo are currently available online and may be viewed here.

The least expensive condominium for 2024 was a bank repossession that was completely trashed. The condo sold for $96,000 in the Portland Powellhurst-Gilbert neighborhood. The unit has significant structural damage and closed as a cash sale.

The most expensive ZIP code for 2024 was 97028. This area is located in the Mount Hood Villages. While only 9 sales occurred in 2024, the average price was about $728,000:

The ZIP code with the highest volume of sales was 97209:

This ZIP code covers a large portion of the Portland Pearl District and is part of Portland’s urban core. A total of 239 condominium sales occurred in this ZIP code in 2024.

A condominium in the Pearl District’s Casey complex took the crown for the highest monthly HOA dues—a whopping $2,919! The penthouse unit has panoramic city views, is 3,273 sq. ft. and sold for $2.4 million. Photos of the condo are currently available online and may be viewed here.

Let’s wrap up this post with a quick look at the individual counties comprising the Portland Region. We will examine the three largest counties individually, but will group the three smallest together, as they comprise less than 2% of the overall condominium market.

Multnomah County 2024 Stats

Multnomah County contains most of the City of Portland. A sliver of the City of Portland is located in Clackamas and Washington counties. The following table summarizes important metrics for Multnomah County:

Multnomah County saw a more than 5% decline in the sales volume dollar amount. Total sales dipped 1.4%, while average prices fell by more than 4%. Marketing time spiked nearly 21%. New construction comprised almost 27% of the total market and increased 58% year over year. HOA dues modestly declined by 1.3% in 2024.

Washington County 2024 Stats

Washington County contains many properties with a Portland address that are outside official city limits and are under county control. The second biggest city in Washington County, Beaverton, saw 234 condo sales in 2024. The following table summarizes important metrics for Washington County:

The total sales volume dollar dropped 16.1%. New construction sharply declined by 76% in 2024 compared to the previous year and was only 2% of the overall condo market. Average monthly HOA dues jumped almost $50 per month year over year, representing a nearly 14% increase. Marketing time saw a 48% jump, with condos averaging almost two months before closing.

Clackamas County 2024 Stats

Clackamas County, despite having has many rural portions, has a decent amount of condo activity. The cities of Happy Valley and West Linn have the majority of the sales, with the Mount Hood area coming in third. The following table summarizes important metrics for Clackamas County:

The Clackamas condo sales volume dollar amount was down 9.2% in 2024. Median and average prices were both off by almost 7% compared to 2023. Average monthly HOA dues saw a sight 2% bump (or about $10). The total number of sales was flat year over year.

Columbia, Hood River, & Yamhill Counties 2024 Stats

Given how little of the condo market occurs in these three counties, they have been lumped together:

The total sales volume dollar amount dropped nearly 14%, while average and median prices were down 10% & 25% respectively. The total number of sales was flat, while average monthly HOA dues declined nearly 4%—the only bright spot in these peripheral areas.

That wraps up our look at the Portland Region 2024 condo market!

Thank you for reading the post! I hope you found some useful or interesting nugget of information. Please consider subscribing.

Question: Do you think 2025 will be see condo prices rebound for the region?

CODA

Are you an agent and wonder why appraisers always do “x”? Are you a homeowner that got a report and have a question or two about appraisal terminology or methodology? If so, please feel free to contact me. I enjoy interacting with various market participants and am always happy to help out where I can! And if you are in need of any appraisal services, feel free to reach out to us!

The Portland Pearl District Condo Market – The Last 10 Years (2015-2024)

Via Wikimedia Commons

The Pearl District is one of Portland’s urban core neighborhoods. Bordering the Willamette River, the neighborhood used to be dominated by warehouses and railroad yards but is now home to a variety of businesses, art galleries, and housing. The City of Portland offers the following description:

The Pearl is a young neighborhood, its most recent incarnation established in the early 1990s. Its modern persona is heavily influenced by the tenets of New Urbanism, which prizes mixed-use, walkability, diversity, human scale and conservation.

The purchasable housing stock type in the Pearl District can be described in one word: condominiums. Except for one small townhome development, the neighborhood has no other housing type. (All other housing is lease-only in apartment buildings.) So, how has the Pearl District condo market performed over the last 10 years? Let’s crunch some numbers and dig into the stats.

Note: We will only be examining the open market, defined as condo units advertised on RMLS. Off-market private sales will not be included in the following analysis.

PEARL DISTRICT SUMMARY STATISTICS

Taking the 35,000-foot view, we can see the average yearly prices have been steadily declining since 2016:

Bar graph showing average yearly condo sales price in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

Average prices this year are essentially the same as they were in 2015. (Ouch.) The main reason for this decline is due to a couple of large high-rise condominium buildings being completed in 2016 and 2018. (We’ll talk more them later in this post.) For now, suffice to say, the completion of those projects has created a glut of units the market is still trying to digest. That combined with high mortgage interest rates and low volume has depressed average sales prices.

Here is that same info expressed in an average yearly price per square foot:

Bar graph showing average yearly condo sales price per square foot in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

The contrast between 2015 and 2024 is a bit more pronounced when viewed from a price-per-square-foot vantage point.

Unsurprisingly, condo units have been steadily spending more time on the market before finding a buyer:

Bar graph showing average yearly cumulative days on market in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

Units have been averaging 3-4 months on the open market before finally selling.

Volume has been trending downwards as the market struggles with the current high interest rate environment:

Bar graph showing average yearly condo sales volume in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

Finally, a look at the average size of the units each year shows no major swings and a general conformity in square footage:

Bar graph showing average yearly condo square footage in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

2024 HASN’T BEEN A GREAT YEAR FOR THE PEARL DISTRICT

Using line graphs we can parse the data on a monthly basis for the last four years to see how 2024 compares to the previous three years. Let’s start with the average monthly sales price:

Line graph showing monthly average condo sales price in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2021-2024.

It should be noted the month of December 2024 is dashed as the month is not yet complete as of the post date and trends may slightly change depending on the remaining data. The year 2024 has generally underperformed the prior years. Interestingly, the months of May & June of the year 2022 were the lowest. This was right when the Federal Reserve began spiking the interest rates, with immediate effect on the market.

The following shows the monthly days on market:

Line graph showing monthly average condo days on market in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2021-2024.

2024 has pulled away from the previous years and units are having a much harder time selling.

The following shows the sales price to the original list price ratio:

Line graph showing monthly average condo sales price to original list price percentage in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2021-2024.

A ratio above 100% is good for sellers, as it typically indicates a “hot” market with competitive bidding. 2024 has seen a sharp drop off since late summer.

Finally a look at volume:

Line graph showing monthly average condo sales volume in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2021-2024.

It’s been neck and neck between 2023 and 2024, but it looks like 2024 will close the year with the lowest monthly winter volume over the last four years.

IMPACT OF MAJOR HIGH-RISE CONDOMINIUMS

Images of Cosmopolitan and Vista Pearl via Wikimedia Commons

The Cosmopolitan is the largest residential tower in the City of Portland. The building is 28 stories, has 343,560 sq. ft. of space, and 150 condo units. It greatly enhances Portland’s skyline. The tower was completed in 2016.

Vista Pearl is also an impressive building, with 21 stories above ground and 153 condo units. Vista was completed in 2018 and is STILL selling units that have never been occupied. (One unoccupied unit sold in early 2024.)

The following graph shows the number of condo units in active status versus the number of units in pending status (under contract) for the entire Pearl District for the last ten years:

Line graph showing daily number of condos in active status versus pending status in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon from 2015-2024.

When the number of pendings exceed the number of active listings that generally indicates a hot market where demand outstrips supply. The market did a fairly good job absorbing the units from the Cosmopolitan. However, when Vista Pearl came online, the market became glutted. The graph shows a sharp spike in active listings in 2018 when that tower was completed and the inventory levels have remained high ever since.

The two structures compete well against one another. Here is a graph of sales prices from the Cosmopolitan and Vista Pearl:

Double scatter plot showing sales in the Cosmopolitan on the Park condo tower and the Vista Pearl condo tower in Pearl District, Portland, Oregon.

The flurry of initial sales for each building can be seen on their respective completion dates (2016 & 2018). The general range of initial sales prices were similar. The subsequent years show an intermixture of dots, indicating no clear dominance of one tower over the other. The edge does go to the Cosmopolitan in the rarified heights of luxury condo units. And the air gets quite thin above $3 million, with most of the sales in that range belonging to the Cosmopolitan.

The highest sale in the Cosmopolitan was a 4,472- sq. ft. penthouse unit on the 27th floor. It was originally designed as two condo units, but before the tower was completed the two units were consolidated, creating the largest unit in the complex, with panoramic views. The 27th floor penthouse initially sold for $5,441,294 in 2016 as a new construction. The unit later sold for $6,995,000 in 2019—which is a record on the open market for the last ten years in the Pearl District (the seller never dropped the price and waited 244 days to find a buyer). As of this post date, the unit is back on the market for a more “modest” asking price of $4,500,000. If the penthouse closes at that price, it will represent a 36% drop in value from the previous sale. Photos of the unit are currently available online.

A QUICK LOOK AT THE LUXURY CONDO MARKET IN THE PEARL DISTRICT

Let’s wrap up our survey of Pearl District condos by examining the luxury market. Here, we define the luxury market as condominiums that sold at or above $2 million. The following map shows where those sales occured:

Map of location of sales of $2 million plus condo sales in the Pearl District in Portland, Oregon

The following table summarizes info about the sales:

Table of condo complexes that had sales of $2 million plus unit between 2015-2024 in the Pearl District, Portland, Oregon.

Unsurprisingly, the Cosmopolitan is the clear winner, however, the Casey and Metropolitan complexes are close behind in average sales prices, with the Vista Pearl complex claiming 4th place in the luxury condo market.

Thank you for reading the post! I hope you found some useful or interesting nugget of information. Please consider subscribing.

Question: When do you think the Pearl District will finally absorb all the excess inventory?

CODA

Are you an agent and wonder why appraisers always do “x”? Are you a homeowner that got a report and have a question or two about appraisal terminology or methodology? If so, please feel free to contact me. I enjoy interacting with various market participants and am always happy to help out where I can! And if you are in need of any appraisal services, feel free to reach out to us!