Portland Real Estate Appraisal Brief – Thursday, December 4, 2025: National Home Sales Show Modest October Increases

National existing-home sales rose 1.2% and pending sales rose 1.9% in October 2025, providing context for Portland metro appraisers amid elevated regional prices.

Portland Oregon skyline at dusk with NAR Existing-Home Sales & Pending Sales October 2025 Report banner – context for national housing trends and Portland metro appraisals
Portland Oregon skyline at dusk.
Photo: Razvan Orendovici via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)

National Home Sales Overview

In October 2025, pending home sales across the U.S. rose 1.9% from September, reflecting a modest uptick in contract signings amid lower average mortgage rates(6.25%) for a 30-year fixed loan. Year-over-year, however, pending sales edged down by 0.4%. This monthly gain marks a continuation of buyer activity amid fluctuating economic signals.

Existing-home sales also increased, climbing 1.2% month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.10 million units. On a year-over-year basis, existing sales were up 1.7%, with single-family homes comprising the bulk at 3.71 million units annually. Condominium and co-op sales contributed 390,000 units, showing stronger monthly growth at 5.4%.

The national median existing-home price stood at $415,200 in October, representing a 2.1% increase from the previous year. Single-family homes had a median price of $420,600, while condos and co-ops were at $363,700. These price levels underscore ongoing affordability challenges in certain markets.

NAR Pending Home Sales Index October 2025 infographic – national pending sales rose 1.9% month-over-month with regional breakdowns and Portland Oregon metro market context
NAR Pending Home Sales Snapshot – October 2025
Infographic courtesy National Association of REALTORS®

Regional Variations & Inventory

Regionally, pending home sales showed mixed results. The Midwest led with a 5.3% monthly increase and a 0.9% year-over-year gain, attributed to better affordability. The South followed with a 1.4% monthly rise and a 2.0% annual increase. The Northeast gained 2.3% month-over-month but declined 1.0% year-over-year. In contrast, the West saw a 1.5% monthly decrease and a 7.0% annual drop, highlighting price pressures in higher-cost areas.

For existing-home sales, the Midwest again outperformed with a 5.3% monthly increase to 990,000 units annually, up 2.1% year-over-year. The South edged up 0.5% monthly to 1.86 million units, with a 2.8% annual gain. The Northeast held steady monthly at 490,000 units but rose 4.3% year-over-year. The West declined 1.3% monthly to 760,000 units, down 2.6% annually. Median prices varied regionally, with the Northeast at $503,700 (up 6.5% year-over-year), Midwest at $319,500 (up 4.6%), South at $362,300 (up 0.3%), and West at $628,500 (up 0.1%).

NAR Existing-Home Sales October 2025 infographic – national median price $415,200, 4.4 months supply, regional sales and price trends relevant to Portland metro residential appraisals
NAR Existing-Home Sales Housing Snapshot – October 2025
Infographic courtesy National Association of REALTORS®

Inventory and Market Conditions

Total housing inventory dipped slightly to 1.52 million units in October, down 0.7% from September but up 10.9% from the prior year. This equates to a 4.4 months’ supply at the current sales pace, a minor decrease from September’s 4.5 months but an improvement from 4.1 months a year ago. These figures indicate a gradual easing in supply constraints nationally.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that sales advanced despite external factors, with buyers responding to lower mortgage rates averaging 6.25% for a 30-year fixed loan. He emphasized regional disparities, with the Midwest and South benefiting from more affordable inventory, while the Northeast and West face supply shortages and elevated prices. Yun also highlighted decelerating rents potentially aiding inflation control and supporting further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Implications for the Portland Region

These national trends offer context for stakeholders in the Portland metro area, where market dynamics may echo Western region challenges such as higher prices and softer sales growth. For perspective, the median close price for single-family detached residential properties in the Portland region held at $600,000 through Q3 2025. While this is significantly above the national October median of $415,200, it is slightly below the broader West region’s October median of $628,500, suggesting Portland is performing comparably on price relative to its regional peers. For detailed local metrics through September, refer to our Portland region Q3 2025 market update.

Sources & Further Reading

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